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Wednesday 28 November 2018

5 STATES ASSEMBLY POLLS | LOK SABHA ELECTIONS | 2019 | NARENDRA MODI | RAHUL GANDHI




5 States Assembly Polls Impact on Lok Sabha elections 2019
Every election in India has a political social and economic impact. However, 5 states
assembly election is seen as semi-final for the upcoming Lok Sabha elections 2019.
The impact of assembly elections can be gauged by taking into considerations sizeable
chunk of Lok Sabha seats present in these states.
List of Lok Sabha seats present in these states:
States           Lok Sabha Seats
Madhya Pradesh    29
Rajasthan 25
Chhattisgarh 11
Telangana 17
Mizoram 01
Total           83
Above data tells the story as the total number of Lok Sabha seats Which accounts for
30% of the magical figure of 272 to form government at the center and stake claim for
the PM's Post in 2019.
Impact On BJP in 2019
BJP have task cut out as these elections are held months before Union elections 2019
and BJP is ruling party major states of MP, Rajasthan, and Chhattisgarh and more to
lose than Congress which is fighting for the revival of the party.
If BJP loses these assembly polls it will have an adverse impact across the country as it
will leave a lot of ground to cover to regain lost faith and build positive wave to stir
upcoming Lok Sabha elections in BJP's favor which will be an uphill task.
However, If BJP manages to win with a margin of at least 2/5 or 3/5 with big states in
the kitty second term for MODI government will be almost certain since this result will
give an edge to BJP over Mahagathbandhanan (alliance of anti BJP parties).
Impact On Congress in 2019
Congress is trying everything to regain the faith of voters be it soft Hindutva card by
Rahul Gandhi and antincumbancy factor can also play in favour of congress party as
BJP is ruling from more than  decade in MP and Chhattisgarh.
If Congress loses these assembly polls then it will be quite certain that sun has already
set for Rahul Gandhi for the upcoming 2019 elections and will have to prepare for 2023
elections.
However, If congress manages to win at least by 2/5 states margin with big states like
Rajasthan and MP in the kitty then party will get a major Boost for 2019 elections and
Rahul Gandhi will be able to find more partners for a possible Mahagathbandhan
(an alliance of anti BJP parties) and thus will be able to give a tough fight to BJP and
PM Modi in 2019 and make the elections very interesting.

Written By AMIT TIWARY.

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